NHC Atlantic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000ABNT20 KNHC 101736TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a well-defined low pressure area located about 100 miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Only a small increase in the organization could lead to the formation of a tropical depression before the low moves near or across the Cabo Verde Islands tonight and on Monday.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible today and Monday across the Cabo Verde Islands, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system.Even if a tropical depression does not form over the next day or so, environmental conditions appear very conducive for later development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by the middle to latter portion of this week while moving west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.  * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.Central Atlantic (AL96):Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic.  Some gradual development is possible during the middle part of this week while the system moves northward over the central Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.$$Forecaster Blake